Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal El Pozuelo (Torremolinos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Eldense

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.05	3.05	2.25
	3.17	3.21	2.26	Watch
	3	2.88	2.2
	3	2.98	2.32
	2.85	3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.84)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)	2.27 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
30.1%

Draw
29.9%

Eldense
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

31.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Juventud de Torremolinos - Eldense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Eldense (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fran Martinez (G) 6. Climent A. 5. Dani (C) 4. Merida Palomino J. 2. Edu Lopez 8. Penarroya C. 23. Lesedi S. A. 11. Ribeiro I. 7. Camacho A. 9. Pito Camacho 14. Polo C.	1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 8. Bustillo M. 12. Molina M. 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 9. Dioni 7. Quintana Nacho
Substitutes
12. Ajegun Perez R. 31. Bozada J. 25. Diao U. 30. Eleftheriadis T. 10. Gallego Cea F. 20. Gori 15. Hernandez J. 19. Opara L. 26. Vila Y. (G)	11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 20. Ibanez R. 19. Ibarrondo A. 22. Nunez R. 16. Quintanilla R. 13. Valencia P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Ruiz D. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Fidel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lesedi S. A. ↓, Gori ↑,
53', Gori 🟥,
69', Merida Palomino J. ↓, Gallego Cea F. ↑,
69', Pito Camacho ↓, Diao U. ↑,
70', Fidel ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
70', Macho G. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Bustillo M. 🟨,
74', Bustillo M. ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
77', Diao U. 🟨,
83', Dani ↓, Ajegun Perez R. ↑,
84', Clemente J. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Polo C. ⚽,
86', Camacho A. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
89', Clemente J. ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
89', Ruiz D. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
90+5', Calvo B. 🟨,
90+6', Ibanez R. 🟨,
90+6', Edu Lopez 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Torremolinos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eldense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Torremolinos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Eldense has had a series of home games.

Eldense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Torremolinos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Betis B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Cartagena - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTL
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Eldense - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Eldense - Betis B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eldense - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Eldense - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.10.25	Eldense - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:3

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