Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GAUCHO - ROUND 8

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)


	Juventude		Aimoré

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.25
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.66	3.28	5.62
	1.67	3.1	5.5
	1.69	3.34	5.45	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.66)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)	5.33 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
55%

Draw
28%

Aimoré
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

16.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Aimoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventude that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aimoré could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Juventude - Aimoré Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aimoré will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 3.

Recent matches Juventude is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aimoré is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Juventude won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
13.02.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Juventude	1:1 ✺
09.02.23	Juventude - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
05.02.23	Ypiranga - Juventude	3:2 ✺
02.02.23	Juventude - Avenida	1:0 ✺
30.01.23	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWT
- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
12.02.23	Aimoré - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Avenida - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Grêmio - Aimoré	3:0 ✺
01.02.23	Aimoré - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Caxias - Aimoré	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.22	Aimoré - Juventude	1:1
01.04.21	Juventude - Aimoré	1:0
14.03.20	Aimoré - Juventude	0:0
03.02.19	Aimoré - Juventude	0:1
10.02.16	Juventude - Aimoré	2:0
05.04.15	Juventude - Aimoré	6:1

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