The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 39.7%
Draw 31.6%
Juventude 28.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
32.2%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
32.5%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Vila Nova - Juventude Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
In recent outings, Vila Nova has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Juventude shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vila Nova is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 0.7:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vila Nova against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Juventude
35
18
10
7
45:23
22
64
3
Vila Nova FC
35
18
8
9
50:36
14
62
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Vila Nova FC: 13.37%
Last Results with these Odds
Vila Nova - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.04%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.