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Current Win Probability
Juventude de Évora 31.3%
Draw 31.2%
Elvas 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
30%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
29.1%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude de Évora's form might have worsened.
Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Évora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juventude de Évora - Elvas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 🟥,
45+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).
Recent performances by Juventude de Évora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Elvas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Juventude de Évora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Juventude de Évora has had a series of away games.
Juventude de Évora could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventude de Évora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Juventude de Évora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.