Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marco 09		Elvas

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.8
				Watch
	2.02	2.88	3.7
	2.04	2.96	3.79
	5.39	1.25	9.58	Watch
	2.05	3.04	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (1.93)	2.61 ↓ (3.07)	4.93 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
38.8%

Draw
40%

Elvas
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

29.6%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

28.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco 09's form might have worsened.

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco 09, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Marco 09 - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', Gracio D. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
109', 1 - 0, Andrezinho ⚽,

Preview

Marco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elvas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Marco is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Marco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Marco 09 - Amarante	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Cinfães - Marco 09	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
24.08.25	Fafe - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Sanjoanense - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Marco 09 - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTT
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.09.25	Sintrense - Elvas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	SC Lusitânia - Elvas	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.08.25	Elvas - Portimonense B	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Atlético da Malveira - Elvas	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Elvas - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Marco 09 - Elvas	0:1 penalties

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