Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Do Juventude Sport Clube (Evora)


	Juventude de Évora		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.82	3.6
	2.13	2.77	3.66
	2.15	2.81	3.69	Watch
	2.1	2.7	3.6
	2.12	2.79	3.69
	2.05	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.93)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	3.64 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude de Évora
42.9%

Draw
32.3%

Moncarapachense
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Évora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Juventude de Évora is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Moncarapachense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventude de Évora could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude de Évora won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude de Évora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventude de Évora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Comércio e Indústria - Juventude de Évora	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alcochetense - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Oriental	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Alverca B - Juventude de Évora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWW
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Moncarapachense - Louletano	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sintrense - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Moncarapachense - Portimonense B	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.04.24	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	2:0
17.12.23	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	0:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.12.21	Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense	0:1
14.11.21	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	1:0
07.02.21	Moncarapachense - Juventude de Évora	1:1

Juventude de Évora - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide