Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio das Seixas (Malveira)


	Atlético da Malveira		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.78	3.05
	2.38	2.80	3.17	Watch
	2.12	3	3.62
	2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	3.4 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético da Malveira
41.3%

Draw
31.8%

Moncarapachense
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

31.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-3%)

Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).

Malveira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moncarapachense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Moncarapachense has had a series of home games.

Malveira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Comércio e Indústria - Atlético da Malveira	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético da Malveira - Serpa	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alcochetense - Atlético da Malveira	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	União Lamas - Atlético da Malveira	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Atlético da Malveira - Oriental	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLW
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.10.25	Moncarapachense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Moncarapachense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Moncarapachense - Anadia	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Moncarapachense - Serpa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTTLT

Atlético da Malveira - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide