Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Juventude de Évora		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.29	3.44	2.84
	2.3	3.44	2.84
	2.38	3.04	2.83
	2.31	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (3.43)	3.22 ↑ (3)	2.84 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude de Évora
39.5%

Draw
28.3%

Setúbal
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

30.2%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude de Évora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventude de Évora's performance.

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Setúbal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventude de Évora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setúbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Juventude de Évora is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Setúbal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Setúbal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventude de Évora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude de Évora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventude de Évora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.11.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Juventude de Évora	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Elvas - Juventude de Évora	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Barreirense - Juventude de Évora	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Juventude de Évora - Sintrense	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Juventude de Évora - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.11.23	Setúbal - Barreirense	4:0 ✺
01.11.23	Sintrense - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Setúbal - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Leixões - Setúbal	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.10.23	Lusitano GC - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.01.21	Juventude de Évora - Setúbal	2:5
13.12.20	Setúbal - Juventude de Évora	4:0

Juventude de Évora - Setúbal

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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