Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 6

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Lusitano GC		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.86	2.89	2.66
	2.72	2.91	2.56
	2.8	3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.18)	2.98 ↓ (3.13)	2.52 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lusitano GC
33.2%

Draw
30.6%

Setúbal
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitano GC's form might have worsened.

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitano GC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Setúbal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Setúbal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.10.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	0:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.09.23	Juventude de Évora - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Lusitano GC - Barreirense	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Sintrense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTWT
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.10.23	Setúbal - Imortal	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Sanjoanense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.09.23	Serpa - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Setúbal - Moncarapachense	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Real SC - Setúbal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.02.21	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	5:2

Upcoming Matches