Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 10

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas		Merelinense

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.6
	2.7	2.65	2.63
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	2.77	2.84	2.79
	2.6	2.88	2.62
	2.62	3.08	2.54
	2.7	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.19)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)	2.63 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas
34.1%

Draw
31.5%

Merelinense
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

32.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude de Pedras Salgadas's form might have worsened.

Merelinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merelinense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelinense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merelinense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 1.

Pedras Salgadas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Merelinense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pedras Salgadas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Pedras Salgadas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventude de Pedras Salgadas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Desportivo Monção - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Amarante - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Bragança	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Dumiense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	4:2 ✺
30.10.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Pevidem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLLT
- Merelinense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Merelinense - Amarante	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Bragança - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
13.11.22	Merelinense - Dumiense	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Pevidem - Merelinense	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Merelinense - Maria da Fonte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.03.22	Merelinense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:1
04.12.21	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense	2:3
20.12.20	Merelinense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	1:0
10.11.19	Merelinense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	3:0
17.03.19	Merelinense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	2:2
28.10.18	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense	1:2
09.10.16	Merelinense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	4:1

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Merelinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide