Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	JäPS		SJK Akatemia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.07	3.75	3.69
	1.85	3.86	3.8	Watch
	2	3.45	3.65
	1.99	3.56	3.5
	1.91	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	3.56 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
47.7%

Draw
26.1%

SJK Akatemia
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

22.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

SJK Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JäPS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

JäPS - SJK Akatemia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - SJK Akatemia (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: JäPS will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK Akatemia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 10. Ahola V. 6. Jama O. (C) 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R. 27. Soderlund I.	60. James S. (G) 28. Bulgakov D. 11. Hautamaki E. 22. Kangaskokko T. 24. Kekarainen J. 5. Lehto E. (C) 49. Mani 3. Raiski O. 15. Salmivuori E. 23. Tollinen T. 18. Vesterbacka L.
Substitutes
15. Dahlfors O. 8. Heidari R. 21. Katashira C. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 7. Maliki S. 2. Manner N. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 25. Valto O.	25. Hasselman N. (G) 36. Kangasniemi I. 7. Muchipay A. 2. Mustonen T. 9. Ouma L. 41. Padera P. 4. Pihlaja O. 38. Piiroinen A. 39. Werner C.
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Lopes P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Kekarainen J. ↓, Pihlaja O. ↑,
57', Hautamaki E. ↓, Muchipay A. ↑,
57', Bulgakov D. ↓, Piiroinen A. ↑,
65', Mani ↓, Padera P. ↑,
69', Pallas E. ↓, Katashira C. ↑,
70', Soderlund I. ↓, Dahlfors O. ↑,
70', Ahola V. ↓, Kuosa H. ↑,
74', Selander R. ↓, Ketonen V. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Dahlfors O. ⚽, Katashira C. (A),
76', Kangaskokko T. ↓, Ouma L. ↑,
77', Olander H. ↓, Maliki S. ↑,
89', Kuosa H. 🟨,
90+3', Raiski O. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Ykkonen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 2.

JäPS is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SJK Akatemia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

JäPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JäPS won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
10	SJK Akatemia ✔	25	2	8	15	17:41	-24	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	0:5 ✺
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	KaPa - JäPS	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	JäPS - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLL
- SJK Akatemia
Finnish Ykkosliiga
26.06.26	Klubi 04 - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	SJK Akatemia - JIPPO	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	SJK Akatemia - SJK	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.05.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	0:2
28.09.25	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	1:1
19.07.25	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	4:1
25.05.25	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	2:2
20.09.24	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	2:1
02.06.24	JäPS - SJK Akatemia	1:1
13.04.24	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	2:1

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