Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Markku.fi Areena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KaPa		JäPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.35	2.60	Watch
	3.05	3.65	2.25
	2.37	3.46	2.83	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.20
	2.98	3.63	2.18	Watch
	2.80	3.35	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.38)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	2.37 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
34%

Draw
26.6%

JäPS
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

JäPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JäPS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JäPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

KaPa - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KaPa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). JäPS will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Collin T. (G) 9. Almen A. 36. Cukici D. 4. Hietalahti P. 2. Huhtamaki U. 18. Jantunen E. 25. Kuningas M. (C) 7. Leinonen N. 10. Lika Y. 15. Pastinen A. 22. Ripatti D.	77. Mustafa B. (G) 10. Ahola V. (C) 15. Dahlfors O. 3. Haikonen P. 6. Jama O. 21. Katashira C. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R. 27. Soderlund I.
Substitutes
37. Heinonen O. 8. Huhtamaki R. 19. Koivuranta T. 5. Lindberg P. 35. Piekkanen R. (G) 53. Pitkanen A. 13. Pulkkinen M. 29. Salmi J. 11. Sillah S.	8. Heidari R. 17. Ketonen V. 19. Kuosa H. 7. Maliki S. 2. Manner N. 11. Pallas E. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 36. Valtonen T. (G)
Coaches
Lummepuro L.	Kankkunen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Almen A. 🟨,
12', Jantunen E. 🟨,
13', Haikonen P. ↓, Manner N. ↑,
20', 0 - 1, Soderlund I. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Lika Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pastinen A. ↓, Huhtamaki R. ↑,
61', Jantunen E. ↓, Sillah S. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Kuningas M. ⚽, Ripatti D. (A),
72', Nikki J. 🟨,
74', Soderlund I. ↓, Ristola A. ↑,
74', Jama O. ↓, Kuosa H. ↑,
74', Dahlfors O. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
80', Leinonen N. ↓, Pulkkinen M. ↑,
88', Cukici D. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Lika Y. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KaPa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 2.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, KaPa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2.2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24

Last Results with these Odds

JäPS - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
13.06.26	JIPPO - KaPa	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	KaPa - JäPS	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ekenäs - KaPa	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	KaPa - PK-35 Vantaa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLT
- JäPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	0:5 ✺
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	KaPa - JäPS	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	JäPS - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
22.05.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
29.05.26	KaPa - JäPS	2:1
Club Friendly
17.01.26	JäPS - KaPa	0:1
Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.09.25	KaPa - JäPS	2:3
02.08.25	KaPa - JäPS	0:3
06.06.25	JäPS - KaPa	2:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
02.03.25	KaPa - JäPS	5:0
Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.10.24	KaPa - JäPS	3:5

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