Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 20

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.50	1.93
	2.95	3.50	2.02
	3.32	3.81	1.96
	3.28	3.88	1.97	Watch
	3.20	3.75	1.94
	3.42	3.73	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.02)	3.7 ↑ (3.58)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
28.5%

Draw
24.8%

FBK Karlstad
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

24.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Järfälla - FBK Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 4. Aksoy Y. 27. Bangala D. 19. Dahir K. 23. Danha C. F. 29. Hamidi A. 8. Medhin T N. 24. Nisic K. 10. Portilla A. 9. Wurtz A. (C)	20. Johansson V. (G) 18. Forsberg E. (C) 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 17. Olsson W. 8. Oluwayemi M. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.
Substitutes
26. Dibaga D. 20. Drugge E. 1. Eide B. (G) 12. Markovski D. 22. Moller O. 16. Sabery A. 6. Saweris P.	14. Buisson B. 15. Dukhan W. 11. Faustini R. 1. Gustafsson N. (G) 9. Johansson Bahar F. 3. Parleholt A. 12. Sandstad A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Hagelberg A. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Navassardian E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Olsson W. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
61', Fredriksson L. ↓, Parleholt A. ↑,
63', Tigerholm V. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
65', Akdemir N. ↓, Markovski D. ↑,
65', Wurtz A. ↓, Dibaga D. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Sandstad A. ⚽,
73', Portilla A. ↓, Sabery A. ↑,
78', Navassardian E. ↓, Buisson B. ↑,
79', Steen L. ↓, Johansson Bahar F. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Järfälla has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

FBK Karlstad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

FBK Karlstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

FBK Karlstad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that FBK Karlstad will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Järfälla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.08.26	Järfälla - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sollentuna - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Järfälla - Karlstad	1:4 ✺
01.08.26	Järfälla - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Enköping	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Hammarby TFF - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0

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