Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 27

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Jönköpings Södra		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	2.92	2.88
	2.7	2.98	3
	2.71	2.81	2.86	Watch
	2.61	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)	3.02 ↓ (3.54)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
37.3%

Draw
30.9%

Ljungskile
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jönköpings Södra's form might have worsened.

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jönköpings Södra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Jönköpings Södra - Ljungskile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson A. (G) 17. Almstrom O. 18. Drott J. (C) 2. Eek L. 15. Eriksson A. 20. Farnerud C. 22. Grauberg K. 11. Kiwarkis A. 10. Kozica D. 13. Lyck H. 9. Lyck L.	1. Eriksson L. (G) 10. Ambroz F. 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 14. Lagerlof D. 6. Lindholm Corner L. 21. Mensah G. 17. Mortensen A. 20. Ohlsson S. (C) 9. Omar S. 8. Tyren V. 23. Uzel M.
Substitutes
12. Benatallah F. 6. Crona S. 7. Ellbring I. 16. Israelsson H. 4. Karlsson A. 3. Markovski D. 30. Svensson S. (G)	7. Liljedahl J. 37. Liljedahl W. (G) 16. Nilsson W. 19. Olsson P. 25. Ornblom F. 5. Vennberg J. 11. Zetterlund J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Drott J. ⚽, Kozica D. (A),
23', Lindholm Corner L. 🟨,
38', Mensah G. 🟥,
38', Grauberg K. 🟨,
40', Lindholm Corner L. ↓, Ornblom F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 1 - 1, Mortensen A. ⚽, Ambroz F. (A),
59', Omar S. ↓, Liljedahl J. ↑,
60', Ohlsson S. ↓, Olsson P. ↑,
64', Farnerud C. ↓, Crona S. ↑,
64', Grauberg K. ↓, Ellbring I. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Ornblom F. ⚽,
80', Kozica D. ↓, Benatallah F. ↑,
85', Uzel M. ↓, Nilsson W. ↑,
85', Lagerlof D. ↓, Vennberg J. ↑,
86', Lyck H. ↓, Israelsson H. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Tyren V. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jönköping won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Ljungskile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jönköping won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jönköping won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.10.25	Oskarshamn - Jönköpings Södra	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Jönköpings Södra - Skövde AIK	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Hässleholm - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jönköpings Södra - Husqvarna	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Lunds - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWTW
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.10.25	Ljungskile - Eskilsminne	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Husqvarna - Ljungskile	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ljungskile - Torslanda	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ängelholm - Ljungskile	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ljungskile - Hässleholm	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
08.06.25	Ljungskile - Jönköpings Södra	2:0
05.10.24	Jönköpings Södra - Ljungskile	0:1
19.05.24	Ljungskile - Jönköpings Södra	2:2
Swedish Superettan
21.11.20	Ljungskile - Jönköpings Södra	0:1
23.06.20	Jönköpings Södra - Ljungskile	2:1
21.07.15	Ljungskile - Jönköpings Södra	1:2
12.05.15	Jönköpings Södra - Ljungskile	3:2

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