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Current Win Probability
Köln 64.1%
Draw 21%
Hamburger SV 14.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.6%
22.9%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
21.7%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Köln - Hamburger SV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schmitz L. (G) 5. Degen C. 15. Bohnen A. 29. Leimenstoll V. 37. Sterner B. 27. Feiersinger L. (C) 8. Vogt L. 17. Andrade L. 20. Elsen C. 9. Bremer P. 33. Hegering M.
12. Szemik K. (G) 2. Doucoure M. 8. Stoldt S. 6. Bohler A. 21. Donges J. 28. Machtens P. (C) 26. Wrede J. 7. Linberg C. 37. Bartz P. 10. Morich C. 11. Brunnthaler M.
Substitutes
25. Donhauser L. 4. Hendrich K. 14. Imping C. 35. Nelles P. (G) 6. Schafer J. 22. Schiffarth J. 32. Treede G. (G) 10. Zawistowska W. 18. Ziemer T.
36. Baum J. (G) 29. Eggert L. 20. Karczewska N. 4. Mirzaliyeva N. 5. Obispo C. 39. Racke N.
Coaches
Carlson B.
Cardoso R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', Degen C. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Bremer P. ⚽, Vogt L. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Bremer P. ⚽, Feiersinger L. (A),
38', Machtens P. 🟨,
43', Doucoure M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Linberg C. 🟨,
59', Sterner B. ↓, Imping C. ↑,
65', Donges J. ↓, Eggert L. ↑,
67', Andrade L. ↓, Zawistowska W. ↑,
69', Wrede J. ↓, Mirzaliyeva N. ↑,
72', Linberg C. ↓, Racke N. ↑,
74', Doucoure M. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Stoldt S. ⚽, Morich C. (A),
82', Feiersinger L. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Bremer P. ⚽, Leimenstoll V. (A),
86', Feiersinger L. ↓, Donhauser L. ↑,
90+2', Bohnen A. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 12th).
In recent outings, Köln has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hamburg is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Köln is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Köln has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.