Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Franz-Kremer Stadion (Cologne)

Referee: Scholz L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
World	OneFootball TV


	Köln		Freiburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.00	4.40
	1.52	3.90	4.70	Watch
	1.65	3.99	4.72
	1.58	4.28	4.91	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.50
	1.66	4.02	4.58
	1.56	4.10	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.02)	4.03 ↑ (3.3)	4.64 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
57.6%

Draw
22.7%

Freiburg
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Köln's performance.

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Köln - Freiburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmitz L. (G) 37. Sterner B. 5. Degen C. 8. Vogt L. 33. Hegering M. (C) 29. Leimenstoll V. 30. Nachtigall S. 20. Elsen C. 27. Feiersinger L. 9. Bremer P. 19. Zeller D.	38. Reimann A. (G) 22. Kolb L. 3. Axtmann A. 5. Stierli J. 2. Karl L. (C) 6. Ojukwu N. 30. Acikgoz I. 10. Vobian S. 17. Arfaoui A. 8. Bienz A. 14. Brunold C.
Substitutes
17. Andrade L. 15. Bohnen A. 25. Donhauser L. 14. Imping C. 28. Kerschbaumer A. 35. Nelles P. (G) 36. Weber M. 10. Zawistowska W. 18. Ziemer T.	33. Barth L. (G) 23. Birkholz L. E. 18. Maas M. 32. Memminger E. 15. Schneider M. 9. Seghir S. 29. Vincze B. D.
Coaches
Carlson B.	Konrad M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hegering M. ↓, Bohnen A. ↑,
46', Vobian S. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
46', Arfaoui A. ↓, Birkholz L. E. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Brunold C. ⚽, Ojukwu N. (A),
62', Bremer P. ↓, Ziemer T. ↑,
66', Bienz A. ↓, Seghir S. ↑,
82', Degen C. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
82', Acikgoz I. ↓, Vincze B. D. ↑,
82', Axtmann A. ↓, Maas M. ↑,
85', Vincze B. D. 🟨,
85', Nachtigall S. 🟨,
87', Ziemer T. ↓, Imping C. ↑,
88', Andrade L. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Köln for this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Köln has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:41 (averaging 0.9:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:14 goals (averaging 0.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Freiburg W	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
7	Koln W	6	3	0	3	10:8	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln Women
German Bundesliga Women
19.09.26	Bayern Munich - Köln	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Köln - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Mainz - Köln	0:4 ✺
28.08.26	Köln - TSG Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWL
- SC Freiburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.09.26	Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Freiburg - Mainz	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Hamburger SV - Freiburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
24.01.26	Köln - Freiburg	1:0
12.09.25	Freiburg - Köln	1:0
15.02.25	Freiburg - Köln	2:0
28.09.24	Köln - Freiburg	0:2
21.04.24	Köln - Freiburg	2:0
20.11.23	Freiburg - Köln	3:3
21.05.23	Freiburg - Köln	1:3

Köln - Freiburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide