Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Köln II		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.25	1.52
	5.42	4.42	1.5
	5.25	4.54	1.48
	5.7	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (4.46)	4.35 ↑ (4.06)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
17.2%

Draw
21.1%

Fortuna Köln
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.8%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Köln II - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Niang Y. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Niang Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Niang Y. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 0.

Köln II is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fortuna Köln is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Fortuna Köln is a strong favorite.

We predict that Fortuna Köln will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:39. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Koln II	10	4	2	4	19:18	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
12.04.26	Bonner - Köln II	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Siegen - Köln II	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gütersloh - Köln II	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
12.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Velbert - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:2
09.02.25	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	3:3
18.08.24	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	1:2
01.12.23	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:3
01.08.23	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	5:1
06.05.23	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:1
10.11.22	Fortuna Köln - Köln II	2:2

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