Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Köln II		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	4.4	4	1.58
	4.5	4	1.6
	4.3	4.1	1.64
	4.75	4.04	1.65
	4.6	4.33	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.08)	4.09 ↑ (3.82)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
20.5%

Draw
22.6%

Rot-Weiß Essen
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

24.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

16.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln II's form might have worsened.

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rot-Weiß Essen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+24.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rot-Weiß Essen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Köln II - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Köln II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rot-Weiß Essen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Köln II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Köln II have a series of guest games.

In this match Rot-Weiß Essen is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Köln II won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Köln II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
15.10.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Köln II	2:6 ✺
01.10.21	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:1 ✺
28.09.21	Wiedenbrück - Köln II	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0 ✺
18.09.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Köln II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German Regionalliga West
16.10.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wiedenbrück	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Uerdingen - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:11 ✺
02.10.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Lippstadt 08 - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
17.09.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Schalke 04 II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
23.05.21	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1
05.12.20	Rot-Weiß Essen - Köln II	3:1
24.01.20	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:1
11.08.19	Rot-Weiß Essen - Köln II	1:1
15.12.18	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0
19.08.18	Rot-Weiß Essen - Köln II	2:0
Club Friendly
06.02.18	Köln II - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2

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