Match Info

GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event


	Köln U19		Mainz U19

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.18	3.35	2.63
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.24	3.6	2.76
	2.23	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln U19
40.8%

Draw
26.3%

Mainz U19
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mainz U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln U19 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mainz U19 than the current prediction. (-1%)

Köln U19 - Mainz U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Köln U19 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mainz U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Köln U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Köln U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Köln U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
09.04.23	Mainz U19 - Köln U19	1:0 ✺
German DFB Junioren Pokal
02.04.23	Köln U19 - Hertha U19	2:1 penalties ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga West
11.03.23	Hilden U19 - Köln U19	0:5 ✺
04.03.23	Köln U19 - Bayer Leverkusen U19	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Köln U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWT
- Mainz U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
09.04.23	Mainz U19 - Köln U19	1:0 ✺
German DFB Junioren Pokal
02.04.23	Schalke U19 - Mainz U19	2:1 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga South
11.03.23	Eintracht Trier U19 - Mainz U19	0:7 ✺
08.03.23	Unterhaching U19 - Mainz U19	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Mainz U19 - Karlsruher U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga North
09.04.23	Mainz U19 - Köln U19	1:0
German DFB Junioren Pokal
31.08.19	Köln U19 - Mainz U19	1:2

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