Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG WHITE GROUP - ROUND 27

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Kırşehir		Nazillispor

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.47	4.5	5.5
	1.41	4.25	4.9
	1.38	4.44	5.68
	1.31	5.29	6.81
	1.39	4.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (2.29)	4.5 ↑ (3.26)	5.58 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kırşehir
63.8%

Draw
20.1%

Nazillispor
16.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kırşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kırşehir's performance.

Nazillispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nazillispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kırşehir than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kırşehir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nazillispor than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nazillispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Kırşehir - Nazillispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kırşehir will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Nazillispor will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kırşehir: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Kırşehir is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nazillispor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kırşehir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kırşehir is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kırşehir won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kırşehir won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kırşehir SK
Turkish Second League White Group
17.02.24	Ankaraspor - Kırşehir	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Kırşehir - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Kırşehir	4:0 ✺
31.01.24	Kırşehir - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Kırşehir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLTL
- Nazillispor
Turkish Second League White Group
18.02.24	Nazillispor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Adıyaman - Nazillispor	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Nazillispor - Bucaspor 1928	2:2 ✺
31.01.24	Bursaspor - Nazillispor	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Nazillispor - Ankara Demirspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
14.10.23	Nazillispor - Kırşehir	3:0
03.04.22	Kırşehir - Nazillispor	1:1
20.11.21	Nazillispor - Kırşehir	2:1

Kırşehir - Nazillispor