Match Info

Date: 18 July 2020, Saturday


	KA Akureyri		Grótta

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.48	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.48	4.2	5
	1.54	4.46	5.68
	1.47	4.5	5.5
	1.51	4.75	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.72)	4.28 ↑ (3.84)	5.73 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KA Akureyri
62.2%

Draw
21.6%

Grótta
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

23.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

15.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KA Akureyri's performance.

Grótta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grótta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-27.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KA Akureyri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grótta than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grótta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	16.7%	12.5%

KA Akureyri - Grótta Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. KA Akureyri will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Grótta will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KA Akureyri: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.07.20	KA Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1 ✺
09.07.20	Fylkir - KA Akureyri	4:1 ✺
05.07.20	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
24.06.20	KA Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	6:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.06.20	KA Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTWT
- IF Grótta
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
12.07.20	Grótta - Akraness	0:4 ✺
08.07.20	Fjölnir - Grótta	0:3 ✺
04.07.20	Grótta - HK Kópavogur	4:4 ✺
29.06.20	Fylkir - Grótta	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
23.06.20	Grótta - Höttur Huginn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLW

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