Match Info

Division 2 - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	KKS Kalisz		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.12	3.25	2.98	Watch
	2.21	3.45	3.2
	2.87	2.84	2.67	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.14	3.28	3.06	Watch
	2.42	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.32)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
40.3%

Draw
28.5%

Hutnik
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

KKS Kalisz - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krakowiak M. (G) 8. Andruszko M. 23. Bialczyk M. 6. Cierpka A. 10. Danielak K. 9. Flisiuk K. 3. Gawlik M. 35. Kieliba B. (C) 16. Putno B. 5. Staszak J. 59. Zdybowicz P.	12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 8. Jopek S. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 19. Rzepka K. 24. Semik K. 11. Slomka W. 6. Urbanczyk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Hoyo-Kowalski D. 🟨,
40', Flisiuk K. ↓, Paszkowski J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', Rzepka K. 🟨,
56', Urbanczyk M. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Prusinski K. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Paszkowski J. ⚽,
61', Rzepka K. ↓, Sliwa D. ↑,
68', Bialczyk M. ↓, Kitowski N. ↑,
68', Zdybowicz P. ↓, Skibicki K. ↑,
76', Kitowski N. 🟨,
77', Kieliba B. ↓, Wypych M. ↑,
77', Cierpka A. ↓, Rozycki J. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Prusinski K. ⚽,
81', Semik K. ↓, Szablowski K. ↑,
81', Slomka W. ↓, Motrycz A. ↑,
81', Jopek S. ↓, Bracik K. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Kielis P. ⚽,
88', Kielis P. ↓, Galek I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 3.

KKS Kalisz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hutnik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hutnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hutnik has had a series of home games.

KKS Kalisz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, KKS Kalisz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Hutnik - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
09.08.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.25	KKS Kalisz - Sokół Kleczew	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	Swit Skolwin - KKS Kalisz	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	KKS Kalisz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWL
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
09.08.25	Hutnik - Resovia Rzeszów	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Hutnik - ŁKS Łódź II	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Hutnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
11.05.25	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:2
11.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	1:1
06.04.24	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	2:1
22.09.23	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	3:0
06.05.23	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:1
02.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	2:1
09.04.22	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	2:0

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