Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	KaPa		PEPO Lappeenranta

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.55
	4.3	4.1	1.55
	4.1	3.9	1.58
	4.54	4.51	1.65
	4.55	4.2	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (4.03)	4.16 ↑ (4.04)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KaPa
20.6%

Draw
21.9%

PEPO Lappeenranta
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

23%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

18.7%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

PEPO Lappeenranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PEPO Lappeenranta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KaPa - PEPO Lappeenranta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2).

KaPa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PEPO is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PEPO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently PEPO have a series of guest games.

In this match PEPO is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches KaPa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams KaPa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KaPa
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
18.09.21	Atlantis Helsinki - KaPa	3:0 ✺
15.09.21	KaPa - Kiffen 08	1:3 ✺
11.09.21	KaPa - Lahden Reipas	2:0 ✺
27.08.21	JäPS - KaPa	5:2 ✺
21.08.21	KaPa - NJS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
19.09.21	PEPO Lappeenranta - NJS	2:0 ✺
15.09.21	PeKa - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	3:2 ✺
08.09.21	Mikkelin Kissat - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:11 ✺
04.09.21	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
17.07.21	PEPO Lappeenranta - KaPa	2:1
25.09.16	KaPa - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:0

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