Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Töölön Pallokenttä (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Atlantis Helsinki		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.35
	3.45	3.8	1.84
	2.33	3.85	2.34
	3.59	3.89	1.81	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	3.6	3.68	1.82
	3.45	3.8	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.29)	3.73 ↓ (3.77)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlantis Helsinki
30.4%

Draw
24.7%

KaPa
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

23.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

21.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Atlantis Helsinki - KaPa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Atlantis (1.52) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Atlantis (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlantis Helsinki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlantis (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Abdi A. (G) 20. Adam Y. 94. Ajunwoko C. 51. Ejeh P. 3. Fujioka S. 18. Katashira C. 7. Ndaziramiye N. 77. Niska R. 2. Okaizumi S. 5. Sevcenko V. (C) 12. Sfishta A.	30. Collin T. (G) 36. Cukici D. (C) 9. Haapiainen W. 8. Huhtamaki R. 27. Kallio E. 14. Lika Y. 19. Merilainen K. 16. Niskanen M. 15. Pastinen A. 25. Puputti S. 10. Ripatti D.
Substitutes
8. Achenchab A. 10. Bekhedda M. 45. Fazli M. 24. Jokiniemi N. 27. Kantelinen S. 30. Mansaray B. 23. Nworah D. 35. Singh A.	12. Herronen S. 31. Jouhi A. 7. Leinonen N. 5. Lindberg P. 11. Manneh F. 28. Minkkinen O. 26. Okungbowa O. 1. Piispa A. (G) 18. Valakari T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Ejeh P. ⚽,
30', Niskanen M. 🟨,
34', Haapiainen W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Niska R. ↓, Nworah D. ↑,
46', Ajunwoko C. ↓, Bekhedda M. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Bekhedda M. ⚽,
65', Huhtamaki R. ↓, Manneh F. ↑,
65', Ripatti D. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,
73', Niskanen M. ↓, Herronen S. ↑,
73', Haapiainen W. ↓, Okungbowa O. ↑,
79', Ndaziramiye N. ↓, Fazli M. ↑,
80', Pastinen A. ↓, Leinonen N. ↑,
85', Merilainen K. 🟨,
85', Abdi A. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Lika Y. ⚽,

Preview

Atlantis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KaPa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlantis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

KaPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlantis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlantis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Ykkonen
02.05.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Espoon Palloseura	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	Espoon Palloseura 2 - Atlantis Helsinki	1:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
11.04.25	Tampere United - Atlantis Helsinki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.05.25	KaPa - JIPPO	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	0:3 ✺
23.04.25	Ekenäs - KaPa	4:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	HPS - KaPa	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
12.04.25	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
23.07.22	Atlantis Helsinki - KaPa	1:2
08.05.22	KaPa - Atlantis Helsinki	2:3
02.10.21	KaPa - Atlantis Helsinki	1:2
18.09.21	Atlantis Helsinki - KaPa	3:0

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