Match Info

Date: 19 August 2022, Friday


	Kaarinan Pojat		MuSa

	1	X	2
	6.75	5.25	1.31
	5.75	4.7	1.35
	6.4	5	1.29
	8.52	5.98	1.3
	8	5.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.08 ↑ (5.77)	5.34 ↑ (4.99)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaarinan Pojat
12.9%

Draw
17.1%

MuSa
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

18.4%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

17.6%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaarinan Pojat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaarinan Pojat than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Kaarinan Pojat - MuSa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. KaaPo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). MuSa will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KaaPo: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

KaaPo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches MuSa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KaaPo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match MuSa is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches KaaPo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams KaaPo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaarinan Pojat
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
05.08.22	Kaarinan Pojat - Salon Palloilijat	2:3 ✺
30.07.22	Grankulla IFK - Kaarinan Pojat	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Espoon Palloseura - Kaarinan Pojat	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	Kaarinan Pojat - Honka Akatemia	1:7 ✺
10.07.22	Klubi 04 - Kaarinan Pojat	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Musan Salama
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
13.08.22	MuSa - Ilves-Kissat	2:3 ✺
04.08.22	Jazz Pori - MuSa	3:1 ✺
29.07.22	Tampere United - MuSa	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	MuSa - HJS	1:0 ✺
13.07.22	MuSa - Jazz Pori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
30.05.22	MuSa - Kaarinan Pojat	4:1
11.08.18	MuSa - Kaarinan Pojat	2:0
02.06.18	Kaarinan Pojat - MuSa	3:6

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