Match Info

MYANMAR: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday


	Kachin United		Dagon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.37
	2.5	3.45	2.4
	2.51	3.27	2.46
	2.55	3.2	2.35
	2.5	3.54	2.48	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.02)	3.38 ↓ (3.54)	2.4 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kachin United
35.6%

Draw
26.7%

Dagon
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.5%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kachin United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kachin United's performance.

Dagon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dagon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kachin United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kachin United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagon than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dagon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kachin United - Dagon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent matches Kachin United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dagon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kachin United
Myanmar National League
27.06.23	Ayeyawady United - Kachin United	5:3 ✺
22.06.23	Rakhine United - Kachin United	0:0 ✺
05.06.23	Kachin United - Chinland	2:0 ✺
01.06.23	Myawady - Kachin United	1:3 ✺
27.05.23	Kachin United - Shan United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.9 LTWWT
- Dagon FC
Myanmar National League
29.06.23	Myawady - Dagon	1:1 ✺
21.06.23	Dagon - Chinland	3:1 ✺
06.06.23	Dagon - Shan United	2:3 ✺
02.06.23	Dagon - ISPE	2:3 ✺
26.05.23	Hanthawaddy United - Dagon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLL

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