Match Info

Leumit League - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Israel	16:00	5 STARS Israel


	Kafr Qasim		MS Ashdod

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.60	3.90	1.55
	4.40	3.75	1.58
	5.12	4.06	1.62
	5.2	4.13	1.57	Watch
	5.05	4.00	1.55
	4.93	3.89	1.61
	4.45	3.90	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↓ (7.1)	3.95 ↓ (4.41)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kafr Qasim
19%

Draw
23.2%

MS Ashdod
57.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.1%

21.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

20.5%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kafr Qasim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kafr Qasim's performance.

MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MS Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kafr Qasim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MS Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kafr Qasim - MS Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Kafr Qasim has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ashdod is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Ashdod for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SC Ashdod	11	9	1	1	23:8	15	28
9	MS Kafr Qasim	11	4	1	6	13:12	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
16.10.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Kafr Qasim	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Kafr Qasim - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
01.10.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Kafr Qasim	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Kafr Qasim	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWWW
- MS Ashdod
Israeli Liga Leumit
16.10.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:0 ✺
12.10.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - MS Ashdod	2:4 ✺
01.10.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0 ✺
24.09.26	Ironi Modiin - MS Ashdod	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWW

Kafr Qasim - MS Ashdod