Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 27

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Kairat 2		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.93	2.68	Watch
	4.67	2.9	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.72)	2.92 ↑ (2.89)	2.28 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat 2
25.8%

Draw
32.6%

Okzhetpes
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

32.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kairat 2's form might have worsened.

Okzhetpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Okzhetpes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kairat 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Okzhetpes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
73. Reimov D. (G) 47. Akhmedov A. 37. Al Khadzh N. 29. Askarov S. 81. Bekbolat I. 98. Birkurmanov M. 83. Makhametzhan K. 67. Nurgaliyev A. 26. Omatay M. 53. Shen A. 54. Turdybaev N.	16. Tolepbergen K. (G) 6. Adil O. 21. Komariden K. 7. Miroshnichenko D. 96. Mukhammed A. 14. Serikbay A. 35. Shamshi B. 11. Tazhibay B. 3. Zhaksylykov Z. 10. Zhumat D. 4. Zyabko V.
Substitutes
42. Abish M. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 74. Moldakhmet E. 75. Nurbekuly A. 91. Sautov A. 59. Tashpulatov D. 46. Tolepbergen A.	30. Allakhverdiev R. 20. Amirkhanov M. 13. Gagaev I. 23. Gorshunov E. 27. Izbasarov N. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 77. Porokh Z. 19. Sultaniyazov Z. 8. Tuliev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Turdybaev N. 🟨,
35', Birkurmanov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Birkurmanov M. ↓, Tolepbergen A. ↑,
46', Omatay M. ↓, Nurbekuly A. ↑,
57', Mukhammed A. ↓, Tuliev M. ↑,
57', Adil O. ↓, Sultaniyazov Z. ↑,
61', Nurgaliyev A. ↓, Sautov A. ↑,
64', Komariden K. ↓, Gorshunov E. ↑,
69', Tuliev M. 🟨,
77', Shamshi B. ↓, Izbasarov N. ↑,
88', Izbasarov N. 🟨,
90', Zhaksylykov Z. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Sautov A. ⚽,
90+4', Serikbay A. 🟨,
90+6', Tolepbergen K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kairat 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
26.09.24	Kairat 2 - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
19.09.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat 2	4:2 ✺
12.09.24	Turkistan - Kairat 2	1:4 ✺
06.09.24	Kairat 2 - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Taraz - Kairat 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh First League
26.09.24	Okzhetpes - Taraz	1:0 ✺
19.09.24	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	1:0 ✺
12.09.24	Okzhetpes - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Okzhetpes - Zhetisay	4:1 ✺
30.08.24	Aktobe 2 - Okzhetpes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
11.07.24	Okzhetpes - Kairat 2	3:0
16.07.22	Okzhetpes - Kairat 2	3:2

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