Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen)

Referee: Sulikanov S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Altai Semey		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.76	3.5	2.51
	2.6	3.29	2.51	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.67	3.3	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.86)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	2.51 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
34.9%

Draw
28.2%

Okzhetpes
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altai Semey's performance.

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altai Semey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Altai Semey - Okzhetpes Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Altai will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Okzhetpes will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altai: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Konovalov I. (G) 15. Schmidt D. 3. Odeoyibo S. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 4. Micevic N. 6. Redzhepov T. 11. Dadaev I. 21. Jambor N. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 88. Ivanov S. 99. Stoisavljevic D.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 17. Nurymbet A. 9. Borodin D. 47. Vasiljev V. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 8. Buribaev N. 19. Omirtaev O.
Substitutes
35. Aliakbar A. (G) 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 9. Gorshunov E. 19. Gultyaev Z. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 17. Kukeev Z. 70. Mitrofanov D. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O. 46. Teterin A.	91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kuzmichev I. ⚽,
24', Buribaev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
46', Redzhepov T. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
54', Micevic N. 🟨,
62', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
64', Kuzmichev I. 🟨,
73', Buribaev N. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
73', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
76', Mukanov S. 🟨,
76', Dadaev I. ↓, Gorshunov E. ↑,
77', Ivanov S. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
77', Popov S. 🟨,
80', Kenzhegulov D. 🟨,
87', Schmidt D. ↓, Khizhnichenko S. ↑,
87', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
90+2', Vasiljev V. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Altai is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Okzhetpes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Altai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Okzhetpes has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Altai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
17.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	1:2 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.26	Altai Semey - Ulytau	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWTLW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
16.05.26	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
19.09.24	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	1:0

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