Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 18

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.84	2.47
	2.92	2.87	2.52	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.86	2.86	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.17)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)	2.68 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
34.1%

Draw
31.5%

Gor Mahia
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kakamega Homeboyz's form might have worsened.

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gor Mahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Homeboyz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gor Mahia will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
18.01.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Talanta - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTT
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
22.01.25	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Tusker - Gor Mahia	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Police FC - Gor Mahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
27.11.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0
06.04.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0
24.09.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	1:1
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
02.04.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	0:1
18.12.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	2:1

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