Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Shabana		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.82	2.58
	2.71	2.92	2.7
	2.76	2.76	2.71	Watch
	2.75	2.6	2.63
	2.89	2.96	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.84)	2.81 ↓ (2.86)	2.63 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabana
32.9%

Draw
32.4%

Kakamega Homeboyz
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

31.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

31.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Batshi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 1.

Shabana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Homeboyz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Homeboyz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kakamega Homeboyz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Shabana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
05.04.26	Nairobi United - Shabana	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Shabana - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gor Mahia - Shabana	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Shabana - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	AFC Leopards - Shabana	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
08.04.26	Nairobi United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Posta Rangers - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bandari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
12.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:2
Kenyan FKF Cup
13.04.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
02.03.25	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	4:1
01.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0
20.04.24	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0
10.12.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0

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