The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kalsdorf 48.2%
Draw 23.4%
Lafnitz 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55%
22.8%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
23.6%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kalsdorf's form might have worsened.
Lafnitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lafnitz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalsdorf than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kalsdorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lafnitz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lafnitz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kalsdorf - Lafnitz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Regionalliga South Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Regionalliga South Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalsdorf won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Lafnitz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kalsdorf has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Kalsdorf carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Kalsdorf has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kalsdorf against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:2 goals (averaging 1.4:0.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Lafnitz - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.