Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Kampala City Council		Maroons

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.8	7.1
	1.43	3.88	6.46
	1.46	3.86	6.79	Watch
	1.4	3.6	7
	1.42	3.85	7.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)	3.8 ↓ (3.87)	6.92 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kampala City Council
63.2%

Draw
23.7%

Maroons
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

23.3%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

22.6%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kampala City Council has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Maroons have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Kampala City Council - Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Mugume A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Achayi H. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kampala City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kampala City is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kampala City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Maroons	5	2	0	3	8:6	2	6
12	Kampala City	4	1	1	2	1:4	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kampala City Council FC
Ugandan Super League
29.04.26	Kampala City Council - Vipers	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Entebbe UPPC - Kampala City Council	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Kampala City Council - Kitara	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Villa - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
04.04.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kampala City Council	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLL
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
28.04.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Maroons	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Maroons - Police	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	NEC FC - Maroons	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Maroons - Bul	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
19.03.26	Villa - Maroons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
21.01.26	Maroons - Kampala City Council	0:0
02.03.25	Maroons - Kampala City Council	0:0
31.10.24	Kampala City Council - Maroons	5:0
03.10.23	Kampala City Council - Maroons	1:2
01.04.23	Kampala City Council - Maroons	1:1
28.10.22	Maroons - Kampala City Council	1:0
04.02.20	Kampala City Council - Maroons	2:1

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