Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	NEC FC		Maroons

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.15	5.35
	1.68	3.12	5.11
	1.7	3.18	5.31	Watch
	1.64	3.18	5.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.69)	3.16 ↑ (3.11)	5.35 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC FC
54.3%

Draw
28.7%

Maroons
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

29.2%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Maroons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

NEC FC - Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Basangwa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NEC won 4.

NEC is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Maroons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, NEC has had a series of home games.

In this match, NEC is the team to beat.

We predict that NEC will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, NEC won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, NEC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	NEC FC	4	3	1	0	9:2	7	10
7	Maroons	5	2	0	3	8:6	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC FC
Ugandan Super League
09.04.26	NEC FC - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
03.04.26	NEC FC - Vipers	0:1 penalties ✺
17.03.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	2:0 ✺
Ugandan Super League
13.03.26	Police - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	NEC FC - Entebbe UPPC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWT
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
08.04.26	Maroons - Bul	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
19.03.26	Villa - Maroons	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Super League
14.03.26	Maroons - UPDF	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Maroons - Buhimba United Saints	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Express - Maroons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
29.11.25	Maroons - NEC FC	1:1
14.03.25	Maroons - NEC FC	1:3
18.10.24	NEC FC - Maroons	2:1
13.03.24	NEC FC - Maroons	2:1
11.11.23	Maroons - NEC FC	0:1

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