Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 30

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kanchanaburi Province Stadium (Kanchanaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Kanchanaburi		Ratchaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.15	4.65	1.42	Watch
	5.3	5.03	1.5
	5.68	4.63	1.44	Watch
	5	4.4	1.4
	5.52	4.56	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (4.06)	4.65 ↑ (4.4)	1.45 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kanchanaburi
17.2%

Draw
19.7%

Ratchaburi
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

20.9%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

20.1%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kanchanaburi's form might have worsened.

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ratchaburi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kanchanaburi - Ratchaburi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ratchaburi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Khokpho S. (G) 16. Stewart R. 6. Kumar A. 28. Fudsuparp P. (C) 21. Mara M. 42. Ratniyorm S. 91. Tahrat M. 19. Oyarzun A. 18. Liorungrueangkit P. 8. Ewerton 47. Kamara A.	99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 27. Curran J. 2. Mutombo G. 5. Ting D. 3. Sidcley 28. Limwannasthian T. 8. Suengchitthawon T. 11. Negueba 10. Kaewprom J. (C) 89. Rakotoharimalala N. 7. Deni Junior
Substitutes
20. Aguero S. 44. Bardanca 2. Gurd A. 5. Klomjit W. 4. Lucero J. 14. Nutnum S. 1. Pummarrin K. (G) 10. Samphaodi C. 88. Supunpasuch C. 25. Tanthatemee P. 30. Townsend A. 29. Wattayuchutikul S.	29. Chiamudom K. 23. Deeromram K. 16. Jakkuprasat S. 19. Peenagatapho S. 88. Poomkaew C. 33. Promjan P. 15. Promrak A. 37. Srisuwan K. 6. Tana 24. Wonggorn J. 97. Wongmeema U. (G) 18. Yoryoei T.
Coaches
Lee Jung-Soo	Srimaka W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Fudsuparp P. 🟨,
28', Negueba 🟨,
33', Kumar A. 🟥,
41', Stewart R. ↓, Bardanca ↑,
45+2', Kamara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ewerton ↓, Klomjit W. ↑,
57', Curran J. ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
63', Ting D. 🟨,
68', Sidcley ↓, Tana ↑,
69', Kaewprom J. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
69', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Srisuwan K. ↑,
73', Oyarzun A. ↓, Aguero S. ↑,
73', Kamara A. ↓, Gurd A. ↑,
80', Tahrat M. ↓, Townsend A. ↑,
88', Gurd A. 🟨,
90+2', Negueba ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Yoryoei T. ⚽, Rakotoharimalala N. (A),
90+5', Aguero S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

Kanchanaburi is Relegated to Thai League 2

Kanchanaburi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ratchaburi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ratchaburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kanchanaburi has had a series of home games.

Recently, Ratchaburi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ratchaburi is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kanchanaburi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ratchaburi	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4

Last Results with these Odds

Ratchaburi - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.44%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kanchanaburi FC
Thai League 1
02.05.26	Kanchanaburi - Chonburi	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Kanchanaburi - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Kanchanaburi - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Rayong FC - Kanchanaburi	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
03.05.26	Ratchaburi - Rayong FC	6:1 ✺
29.04.26	Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Sukhothai - Ratchaburi	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Bangkok United - Ratchaburi	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Lamphun Warriors - Ratchaburi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
15.08.25	Ratchaburi - Kanchanaburi	1:1

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