Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Kanchanaburi Province Stadium (Kanchanaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Kanchanaburi		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.88	3.6	4.37
	1.74	3.78	4.02	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.89	3.66	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.63)	3.57 ↓ (3.87)	3.93 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kanchanaburi
50.7%

Draw
25.9%

Sukhothai
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kanchanaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kanchanaburi's form might have worsened.

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kanchanaburi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kanchanaburi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 5. Klomjit W. 28. Fudsuparp P. 91. Tahrat M. 44. Bardanca 4. Lucero J. 30. Townsend A. (C) 88. Supunpasuch C. 18. Liorungrueangkit P. 21. Mara M. 10. Samphaodi C.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 19. Phatthaphon P. 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 95. Barreto 21. Denman A. 10. Baggio J. 9. Paredes J.
Substitutes
20. Aguero S. 8. Ewerton 2. Gurd A. 47. Kamara A. 3. Notchaiya P. 14. Nutnum S. 1. Pummarrin K. (G) 42. Ratniyorm S. 9. Rodrigues G. 98. Siripala T. 16. Stewart R. 25. Tanthatemee P.	8. Aranpiroj R. 11. Gildo 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 29. Khamphaeng P. 2. Logarwit S. 70. Mateusinho 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.
Coaches
Kaewpaluk W.	Thong-Am E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Denman A. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Fudsuparp P. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
56', Supunpasuch C. ↓, Ratniyorm S. ↑,
59', Paredes J. 🟨,
60', Paredes J. ↓, Gildo ↑,
66', Klomjit W. ↓, Gurd A. ↑,
66', Liorungrueangkit P. ↓, Aguero S. ↑,
66', Samphaodi C. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
77', Romeu ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
89', Thumporn T. ↓, Logarwit S. ↑,
89', Barreto ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
90+2', Bardanca 🟨,
90+4', Townsend A. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
90+5', Gurd A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 12)

Kanchanaburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sukhothai has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kanchanaburi is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Kanchanaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kanchanaburi FC
Thai League 1
07.03.26	Ayutthaya United - Kanchanaburi	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Kanchanaburi - Chiangrai United	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Uthai Thani - Kanchanaburi	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kanchanaburi - Thai Port	1:4 ✺
09.02.26	Lamphun Warriors - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLT
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
07.03.26	Sukhothai - Rayong FC	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Pathum United - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Buriram United - Sukhothai	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sukhothai - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
08.11.25	Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi	1:1
Thai FA Cup
10.04.24	Kanchanaburi - Sukhothai	2:0

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