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Current Win Probability
Kapfenberger SV 13%
Draw 17.6%
Blau-Weiss Linz 69.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12%
18.3%
69.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.4%
17.4%
73.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Blau-Weiss Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiss Linz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Kapfenberger SV - Blau Weiss Linz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Colic V. (G) 37. Hofer M. 17. Weissenbacher P. 14. Pranjkovic M. 23. Bagrationi M. 19. Zikovic N. 24. Zlibanovic R. 5. Miskovic M. (C) 30. Heuser B. 10. Sokcevic A. 16. Marinovic A.
1. Oelz V. (G) 17. Pasic A. 15. Maranda M. 2. Strauss F. (C) 28. Frieser D. 5. Grimbs N. 8. Conte K. 6. Mayer J. 47. Kreiker D. 11. Vucic R. 7. Weinhauer E.
Substitutes
3. Coco L. 41. Habel N. (G) 11. Hrustan H. 42. Krautler F. 18. Rostas J. 35. Stauder F. 33. Thaqi E.
33. Collmann J. 20. Fabian L. 21. Gerstmayer F. 26. Giuliani C. (G) 22. Riegler D. 29. Ruschke F. 27. Schiestl T.
Coaches
Liendl M.
Kollner M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Hofer M. ↓, Rostas J. ↑,
32', Miskovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 1 - 0, Oelz V. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Strauss F. ↓, Riegler D. ↑,
52', Colic V. 🟨,
58', Frieser D. ↓, Ruschke F. ↑,
58', Grimbs N. ↓, Collmann J. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Vucic R. ⚽, Kreiker D. (A),
62', Bagrationi M. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Miskovic M. ⚽,
66', Sokcevic A. ↓, Krautler F. ↑,
68', Mayer J. ↓, Fabian L. ↑,
73', Kreiker D. ↓, Schiestl T. ↑,
77', Marinovic A. ↓, Stauder F. ↑,
77', Rostas J. ↓, Coco L. ↑,
81', Coco L. 🟨,
86', Ruschke F. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 0.
Kapfenberg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
BW Linz is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, BW Linz is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kapfenberg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).