Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	Tivibu Spor 1


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.20
	2.85	3.20	2.15
	2.80	3.54	2.21
	2.71	3.61	2.27	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.18
	2.80	3.40	2.19
	3.1	3.2	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
32.1%

Draw
26.6%

Ankaragücü
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', Colak O. 🟥,
31', 0 - 1, Has I. (Own goal),
34', 0 - 2, Guner A. ⚽, Tepecik E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Yumurtaci A. ⚽, Kaya K. (A),
78', 1 - 3, Yigit M. ⚽, Guner A. (A),
80', 1 - 4, Guner A. ⚽,

Preview

Karacabey Bld may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Karacabey Bld has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karacabey Bld against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ankaragucu	5	2	1	2	9:5	4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ankaragücü - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.09.26	İnegölspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
24.04.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Beykoz Anadolu - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankaraspor	3:3 ✺
08.04.26	Muğlaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLLTW
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.09.26	Ankaragücü - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	12 Bingöl Spor - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ankaragücü - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
25.04.26	Ankaragücü - Iskenderunspor	4:1 ✺
19.04.26	Erbaaspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
22.02.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankaragücü	0:2
12.10.25	Ankaragücü - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:0

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