Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Bornova

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.5
				Watch
	1.35	4.22	7.76
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.3	5	9.7	Watch
	1.38	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.66)	4.46 ↑ (3.58)	7.91 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
68%

Draw
20.5%

Bornova
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karacabey Belediyespor's performance.

Bornova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bornova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karacabey Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bornova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karacabey Belediyespor - Bornova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karacabey Belediyespor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bornova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bornova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
28.10.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	1461 Trabzon - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Kırklarelispor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWT
- Bornova FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
28.10.23	Bornova - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Tepecik Belediye - Bornova	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
12.10.23	Adıyaman - Bornova	0:2 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
08.10.23	Bornova - Fatsa Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.09.23	Bornova - Akhisar Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWW

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