Match Info

Croatian Cup - Final

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Dinamo Zagreb		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.85	4.65
	1.63	3.85	4.81
	1.10	9.31	22.61	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.5
	1.65	3.88	4.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.65)	4.88 ↑ (3.85)	8.27 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
66.8%

Draw
20.9%

Rijeka
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Zagreb's performance.

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: Dinamo Zagreb will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 71. Bakrar M. 9. Beljo D. 36. Dominguez S. 3. Goda B. 26. McKenna S. 27. Misic J. (C) 7. Stojkovic L. 25. Valincic M. 10. Vidovic G. 8. Zajc M.	13. Zlomislic M. (G) 18. Adu Adjei D. 55. Barco A. 26. Dantas T. 34. Devetak M. 10. Fruk T. 14. Gojak A. 45. Majstorovic A. 22. Orec A. 66. Pavic B. 6. Radeljic S.
Substitutes
4. Bennacer I. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Galesic N. 11. Hoxha A. 21. Lisica M. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 13. Tabinas P. 30. Topic F.	91. Bodetic N. 9. Cop D. 77. Juric A. 23. Lasickas J. 24. Legbo D. 20. Ndockyt M. 8. Petrovic D. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 19. Vignato S.
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Stojkovic L. ⚽, McKenna S. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Stojkovic L. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
63', Bakrar M. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
63', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
73', Barco A. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
73', Fruk T. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
73', Zajc M. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
83', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
83', Valincic M. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
84', Devetak M. ↓, Legbo D. ↑,
90+4', Goda B. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - Opus Arena.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 3.

Dinamo Zagreb has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rijeka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is a strong favorite.

We predict that Dinamo Zagreb will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
09.05.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
08.05.26	Rijeka - Vukovar 91	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
18.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:2
08.02.26	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0
01.11.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	2:1
16.08.25	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2
27.04.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	1:0
22.02.25	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	4:0
23.11.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka	0:0

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