Match Info

Date: 27 October 2021, Wednesday


	Karlovac		Vrapče

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.9
	1.5	3.89	4.45
	1.54	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.22)	3.9 ↑ (3.4)	4.45 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlovac
56.7%

Draw
23.1%

Vrapče
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

18.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlovac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlovac's performance.

Vrapče has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vrapče might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlovac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vrapče than the current prediction. (+25.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vrapče could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Karlovac is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vrapče is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karlovac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karlovac will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karlovac won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlovac
Croatian 3 HNL Center
09.10.21	Karlovac - Zagorec Krapina	3:3 ✺
06.10.21	HAŠK - Karlovac	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Karlovac - Trnje Zagreb	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Bistra - Karlovac	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
22.09.21	Karlovac - Slaven Belupo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLL
- NK Vrapče
Croatian 3 HNL Center
17.10.21	Trnje Zagreb - Vrapče	0:0 ✺
09.10.21	Vrapče - Bistra	4:1 ✺
06.10.21	Vrapče - Gaj Mače	0:2 ✺
08.09.21	Vrapče - Trešnjevka	3:0 ✺
04.09.21	Dugo Selo - Vrapče	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.08.21	Vrapče - Karlovac	3:3

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