Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Karlshamn		Karlskrona

	1	X	2
	6.40	4.70	1.30
	6.7	5	1.35	Watch
	6.40	4.65	1.33
	7.10	4.75	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (5.5)	4.78 ↑ (4.3)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlshamn
13.5%

Draw
18.8%

Karlskrona
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

20.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.6%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Karlskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Karlshamn - Karlskrona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlskrona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Karlskrona (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlskrona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Lennartsson A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Lundqvist H. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Bjornson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 3, Blomqvist A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Ajaji M. ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlshamn won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Karlshamn (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Karlskrona is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Karlskrona holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Karlshamn has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:20 (averaging 1:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karlshamn against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Karlskrona ✔	24	19	3	2	63:21	42	60
14	IFK Karlshamn ✔	24	4	2	18	26:60	-34	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
19.09.26	Berga - Karlshamn	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Karlshamn - Torn	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Österlen - Karlshamn	6:0 ✺
29.08.26	Karlshamn - Nosaby	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Sölvesborg - Karlshamn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL
- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
19.09.26	Karlskrona - Oskarshamn	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sölvesborg - Karlskrona	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Staffanstorp United - Karlskrona	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Karlskrona - Berga	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Karlskrona - Växjö Norra	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
18.06.26	Karlskrona - Karlshamn	3:1
28.06.25	Karlshamn - Karlskrona	0:4
18.04.25	Karlskrona - Karlshamn	3:1
13.09.24	Karlskrona - Karlshamn	4:1
17.05.24	Karlshamn - Karlskrona	2:1
04.08.21	Karlskrona - Karlshamn	4:0
09.06.21	Karlshamn - Karlskrona	2:1

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