Match Info

Date: 12 August 2020, Wednesday


	Karlskrona		Lunds

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.4
	7	5	1.3
	6.5	4.6	1.38
	6	4.7	1.37
	6.28	4.63	1.42
	6.5	4.5	1.4
	5.95	4.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.39 ↑ (5.45)	4.7 ↑ (4.65)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlskrona
14.3%

Draw
19.5%

Lunds
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

19.3%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

16.5%

75.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karlskrona - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Karlskrona has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lunds is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lunds is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Karlskrona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlskrona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 1 Södra
08.08.20	Karlskrona - Eskilsminne	2:2 ✺
18.07.20	Karlskrona - Lindome	0:2 ✺
15.07.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Karlskrona	2:0 ✺
11.07.20	Karlskrona - Linköping City	0:6 ✺
05.07.20	Utsikten - Karlskrona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLL
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
08.08.20	Trollhättan - Lunds	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
30.07.20	Ängelholm - Lunds	1:2 penalties ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.07.20	Lunds - Motala	1:2 ✺
15.07.20	Värnamo - Lunds	4:0 ✺
11.07.20	Lunds - Tvååker	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.10.18	Karlskrona - Lunds	5:4
02.06.18	Lunds - Karlskrona	4:2
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
25.09.16	Karlskrona - Lunds	5:1
28.05.16	Lunds - Karlskrona	1:2

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