Match Info

Date: 15 July 2020, Wednesday


	Värnamo		Lunds

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3
	2	3.6	3
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.01	3.6	3
	2.11	3.38	3.32
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.08	3.54	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)	3.52 ↓ (3.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
44.8%

Draw
25.9%

Lunds
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

23.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

16.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Värnamo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Värnamo - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.07.20	Värnamo - Eskilsminne	3:0 ✺
05.07.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
01.07.20	Värnamo - Utsikten	0:1 ✺
27.06.20	Landskrona - Värnamo	1:4 ✺
21.06.20	Värnamo - Lindome	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLWW
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
11.07.20	Lunds - Tvååker	3:1 ✺
05.07.20	Landskrona - Lunds	4:4 ✺
01.07.20	Lunds - Eskilsminne	3:1 ✺
27.06.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Lunds	0:2 ✺
21.06.20	Lunds - Linköping City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.10.19	Värnamo - Lunds	3:1
27.04.19	Lunds - Värnamo	0:2
Swedish Superettan
11.11.12	Värnamo - Lunds	2:2
07.11.12	Lunds - Värnamo	0:2

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