Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Karlslund		Luleå

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.05	3.65	2
	3.05	3.55	1.99
	3.25	3.83	2.05
	3.25	3.5	2
	3.25	3.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.28)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)	1.98 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlslund
28.5%

Draw
25.4%

Luleå
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

18.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlslund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlslund's form might have worsened.

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luleå's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (+26.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlslund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luleå, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.9%	1.5%	91.6%

Karlslund - Luleå Predictions

Users Predictions: 131 users predict this event. Karlslund will win (votes: 9 - 6.9%). Luleå will win (votes: 120 - 91.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 1.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luleå: 86.8% – 96.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Karlslunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Luleå is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karlslunds won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlslunds IF HFK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.10.20	Karlslund - Berga	1:0 ✺
24.10.20	Örebro Syrianska - Karlslund	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Sollentuna - Karlslund	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Karlslund - Täby	3:0 ✺
07.10.20	Karlslund - Sylvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.11.20	Frej - Luleå	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Luleå - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Luleå - Team TG	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Gefle - Luleå	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Vasalund - Luleå	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
11.07.20	Luleå - Karlslund	3:2

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