Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	OneFootball TV


	Karlsruher		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	2.9	4	2.1	Watch
	2.90	4.00	2.15
	2.75	3.8	2.12	Watch
	3.08	4.25	2.21
	2.88	4.07	2.17	Watch
	3	4.1	2.16
	3.1	4.07	2.06	Watch
	2.8	3.95	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.69)	4.03 ↑ (3.69)	2.14 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
32.3%

Draw
23.5%

Nürnberg
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24.7%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Karlsruher - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 3. Ofli D. 25. Egloff L. 26. Zor D. H. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 33. Bergh V. 13. Fukuda S. 19. Ben Farhat L.	1. Reichert J. (C) 32. Janisch T. 4. Kalogeropoulos A. 20. Otto F. 41. Porstner E. 6. Markhiev A. 8. Fernandez J. 10. Justvan J. 22. Becker F. 23. Zoma M. A. 19. Scobel P.
Substitutes
23. Civeja T. 11. Eichinger N. 4. Heliton 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 27. Meyer J. D. 37. Ponente-Ramirez J. 15. Scholl P. 24. Tremoulet S. 6. Vaananen S.	11. Boving W. 14. Ceresoli A. 7. Ghrieb R. 9. Haugen S. 43. Hess T. 13. Lisewski R. (G) 18. Lubach R. 36. Mandic K. 16. Soldic M.
Coaches
Senft M.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Franke M. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
38', Ofli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Egloff L. ↓, Tremoulet S. ↑,
46', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Ponente-Ramirez J. ↑,
67', Markhiev A. 🟨,
70', Becker F. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
70', Justvan J. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
71', Kobald C. ↓, Heliton ↑,
71', Bergh V. ↓, Eichinger N. ↑,
72', Eichinger N. 🟨,
79', Otto F. ↓, Mandic K. ↑,
86', Zor D. H. ↓, Vaananen S. ↑,
90', Scobel P. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
90', Zoma M. A. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3.

In recent outings, Karlsruher has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nürnberg is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Karlsruher may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Karlsruher: Broschinski M. (Ankle Injury) Jung S. (Thigh Injury) Wiethaup K. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Nürnberg: Faye M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mkrtchyan S. (Knee Injury) Osawe W. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Karlsruher has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:26 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karlsruher against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 21:11 goals (averaging 2.1:1.1 per game).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 9.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17
17	Karlsruher SC	7	1	2	4	6:14	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.26	Karlsruher - Energie Cottbus	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Karlsruher - Wolfsburg	2:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
21.08.26	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLWT
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
11.09.26	Nürnberg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Nürnberg	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1
13.09.25	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	2:1
19.01.25	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	2:1
03.08.24	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	3:2
28.04.24	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	0:1
26.11.23	Karlsruher - Nürnberg	4:1
08.04.23	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	1:1

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