Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Karlsruher		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.60	2.20	Watch
	2.95	3.70	2.20
	3.25	3.70	2.06	Watch
	3.09	3.68	2.33
	3.28	3.67	2.1	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.30
	3.20	3.64	2.15	Watch
	3.00	3.65	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (4.12)	3.66 ↓ (3.97)	2.19 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
30.7%

Draw
26%

Wolfsburg
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

23.6%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

23%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlsruher's performance.

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolfsburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlsruher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Karlsruher - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 3. Ofli D. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 6. Vaananen S. 7. Wiethaup K. 33. Bergh V. 13. Fukuda S. 19. Ben Farhat L.	30. Zielinski J. (G) 2. Fischer K. 6. Wahl H. (C) 22. Angely M. 21. Maehle J. 20. Damar M. 5. Vini Souza 37. Rexhbecaj E. 17. Bernhardsson A. 7. Shiogai K. 11. Reese F.
Substitutes
23. Civeja T. 25. Egloff L. 11. Eichinger N. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 27. Meyer J. D. 37. Ponente-Ramirez J. 15. Scholl P. 24. Tremoulet S. 26. Zor D. H.	18. Adjetey J. 27. Arnold M. 23. Besio A. 33. Cleiton 31. Gerhardt Y. 19. Glatzel R. 14. Hensel P. 12. Pervan P. (G) 32. Svanberg M.
Coaches
Senft M.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 1 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽, Franke M. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
12', 2 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Ben Farhat L. (A),
28', 2 - 2, Reese F. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 3, Vini Souza ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fukuda S. ↓, Meyer J. D. ↑,
58', Vaananen S. ↓, Zor D. H. ↑,
58', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Eichinger N. ↑,
58', Wiethaup K. ↓, Egloff L. ↑,
66', Damar M. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
66', Shiogai K. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
72', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
79', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Besio A. ↑,
80', Vini Souza 🟨,
82', Jung S. ↓, Scholl P. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Wahl H. ⚽, Glatzel R. (A),
90+5', 2 - 5, Reese F. ⚽, Besio A. (A),

Preview

Karlsruher has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wolfsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wolfsburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (Thigh Injury) Benedict T. (Injury) Eriksen C. (Heart Problems) Grzywacz E. (Illness) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vranckx A. (Injury) Wellenreuther T. (Knee Injury) Zehnter A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Karlsruher: Tremoulet S. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Karlsruher won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Wolfsburg: 26.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	19:12	7	12
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German DFB Pokal
21.08.26	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Hoffenheim - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Karlsruher - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWLL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Altglienicke - Wolfsburg	3:4 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Hannover - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Wolfsburg - Telstar	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Wolfsburg - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.01.15	Wolfsburg - Karlsruher	2:1
German DFB Pokal
03.08.13	Karlsruher - Wolfsburg	1:3

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