Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sola Arena (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlstad		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.52
	2.61	3.6	2.47
	2.58	3.57	2.48	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.5	3.38	2.41	Watch
	2.2	3.57	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.28)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	2.5 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad
37.1%

Draw
26.4%

Hammarby TFF
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Karlstad - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 28. Djerlek A. 21. Gustafsson K. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 16. Modou F. 24. Nfansu D. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 18. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.	1. Opancar E. (G) 23. Ek N. 15. Gibson W. 18. Hedlof B. 11. Johansson A. 3. Lindahl J. 24. Loqvist W. 2. Lwampindy-Bofua E. 10. Marrah K. 7. Moczarny O. 8. Tervonen W. (C)
Substitutes
26. Alfonsi D. 11. Bengtsson J. 25. Brostrom I. 8. Gibbs C. 13. Henareh D. (G) 15. Larsson O. 12. Miguel W.	19. Andren G. 25. Darboe M. 4. Eklund C. 13. Krasniqi L. 6. Moses S. 31. Nyberg L. 9. Sadarangani E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Hedlof B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Djerlek A. ↓, Alfonsi D. ↑,
46', Kack Ofordu K. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
60', Modou F. ↓, Miguel W. ↑,
66', Loqvist W. ↓, Sadarangani E. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Sadarangani E. ⚽,
72', Gustafsson K. 🟨,
73', Lwampindy-Bofua E. ↓, Andren G. ↑,
73', Tervonen W. ↓, Moses S. ↑,
83', Andren G. ↓, Eklund C. ↑,
85', Bellman H. ↓, Gibbs C. ↑,
88', Gustafsson K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 1.

Karlstad is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hammarby TFF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlstad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51:25	26	45
7	Karlstad	25	11	8	6	37:25	12	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.04.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlstad	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Karlstad - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlstad	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Karlstad - Piteå	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.03.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.04.26	Hammarby TFF - Vasalund	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Piteå - Hammarby TFF	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Stocksund - Hammarby TFF	2:4 ✺
06.04.26	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Sundsvall - Hammarby TFF	3:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.11.25	Karlstad - Hammarby TFF	1:2
14.06.25	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	3:1
14.09.24	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	1:1
01.04.24	Karlstad - Hammarby TFF	2:0
12.08.23	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	1:1
17.05.23	Karlstad - Hammarby TFF	2:2
06.11.22	Karlstad - Hammarby TFF	1:4

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