Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion		Ermis Aradippou

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.7	3.5	3.9
	1.67	3.66	3.91
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.74	3.28	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.77)	3.43 ↑ (2.81)	4.15 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
52.3%

Draw
26.1%

Ermis Aradippou
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

32.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

22.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion's performance.

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermis Aradippou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ First Division and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 0.

Karmiotissa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ermis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Ermis have a series of home games.

In this match Karmiotissa is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Karmiotissa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion
Cypriot Division 2
19.02.22	ASIL Lysi - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Onisillos Sotiras	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Anagennisi Dherynia	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Omonia Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTTT
- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot Division 2
19.02.22	Ermis Aradippou - Ayia Napa	0:2 ✺
12.02.22	Nea Salamis - Ermis Aradippou	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Ermis Aradippou - Akritas Chlorakas	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Ermis Aradippou - Anagennisi Dherynia	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Ermis Aradippou - ASIL Lysi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Division 2
31.10.21	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:0
Cypriot First Division
17.05.21	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	7:1
19.03.21	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ermis Aradippou	2:2
15.01.21	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:0
17.10.20	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ermis Aradippou	0:1
Club Friendly
07.08.20	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:1
Cypriot Division 2
29.02.20	Ermis Aradippou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:3

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