Match Info

ChNL - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	17:30	CT sport, Oneplay


	Karviná		Dukla Prague

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.82	3.45	3.5
	1.88	3.7	3.64
	1.88	3.78	3.65	Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.45
	1.79	3.55	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)	3.57 ↓ (3.85)	3.58 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
49.3%

Draw
25.4%

Dukla Prague
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Karviná - Dukla Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dukla Prague will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dukla Prague (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 6. Breite R. 11. Cicovsky A. 31. Conde O. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 8. Kronus A. 21. Markovic A. 19. Milic N. 18. Misek S. 7. Selnar J. 32. Yakubu S.	59. Backovsky H. (G) 11. Diallo B. 15. Hanousek M. 21. Hindi S. 55. Karamatic M. 39. Kozma D. (C) 10. Mikus R. 20. Plsek J. 17. Tessilimi O. 37. Tomic M. 16. Zamazal D.
Substitutes
72. Bello J. 24. Chytry J. 14. Hamza J. 93. Konate F. 5. Kone A. 3. Lawali Y. 29. Pira J. 20. Praleika S. 10. Samko D. 34. Vodicka A. (G) 17. Yahaya M.	29. Cisse N. 14. Corr P. 27. Franke A. 31. Jagrik A. (G) 6. Lilling O. 25. Okebugwu J. 7. Schanelec T. 22. Sebrle S. 23. Svozil J. 5. Velasquez D.
Coaches
West R.	Sustr P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Markovic A. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Misek S. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Conde O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diallo B. ↓, Corr P. ↑,
46', Zamazal D. ↓, Velasquez D. ↑,
46', Mikus R. ↓, Sebrle S. ↑,
66', Hindi S. ↓, Cisse N. ↑,
74', Misek S. ↓, Bello J. ↑,
74', Selnar J. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Samko D. ⚽,
80', Tessilimi O. ↓, Okebugwu J. ↑,
85', Conde O. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Chance Liga and 2nd in the Promotion - Chance Liga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Karviná holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Karviná has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:13 (averaging 1.8:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Karviná against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 14:7 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Karvina	12	9	0	3	26:13	13	27
3	Dukla Prague	12	6	3	3	22:19	3	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech Division 2
09.10.26	Táborsko - Karviná	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Karviná - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
Czech Division 2
18.09.26	Karviná - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Fotbal Třinec - Karviná	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Karviná - Kladno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWLW
- Dukla Prague
Czech Division 2
12.10.26	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava B	3:2 ✺
Czech Cup
02.10.26	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Czech Division 2
18.09.26	Prostějov - Dukla Prague	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dukla Prague - Vlašim	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Opava - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Dukla Prague - Karviná	1:2
19.07.25	Karviná - Dukla Prague	2:0
12.03.25	Dukla Prague - Karviná	0:0
01.09.24	Karviná - Dukla Prague	0:0
Czech Division 2
13.05.23	Dukla Prague - Karviná	0:3
22.10.22	Karviná - Dukla Prague	5:0
Czech 1 Liga
14.05.19	Karviná - Dukla Prague	3:0

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